Arizona Solar Roadmap Study
Today the Arizona Department of Commerce released a report outlining a Roadmap for the development of solar in the state. An executive summary was also released, as were the following highlights:
The Arizona Department of Commerce commissioned this project to help inform the strategy for future business development in the solar industry.
AZ has the potential to become a world leader in many aspects of solar development, and is a model location for the evolution of new solar technologies. (Page 2)
Currently, customer sited PV is more expensive than retail electricity, but future expected cost reductions will close the cost gap. (Page 9)
Technology improvements/cost reductions will allow central solar to compete with conventional baseload and intermediate generation. (Page 11)
Cost of electricity from parabolic trough is near the cost of peaking power today, with costs expected to decline by more than 50 percent by 2025. (Page 13)
Total solar deployment could exceed 2,600 MW in the accelerated scenario with rooftop PV accounting for about 45 percent of the capacity (2025). (Page 17)
The accelerated scenario for solar could add over 3,000 jobs in 2020 (Page 18)
Emission reduction is estimated at 400,000 tons per year in an accelerated scenario in 2020. (Page 19)
If some barriers can be overcome, there is potential for annual installations of more than 250 MW/yr in 2020. (Page 23)
Implementing the roadmap initiatives will allow Arizona to build upon its assets and policies to establish a leadership position in fostering solar. (Page 30)
As of June 2006, nine states have RPS bills introduced and three are considering increasing RPS targets, including the Arizona target. (Page 47)
Arizona renewable energy funds are expected to provide approximately $13.5 million in 2006, and more than $50 million a year upon implementation of Renewable Energy Standard and Tariff (REST). (Page 49)
PV can be sited at customer premises to compete with retail power, but high first cost is still a major barrier to broader market penetration. (Page 65)
The National Renewable Energy Laboratory estimates the technical potential for concentrating solar power at ~2.5 GW in Arizona. This is almost three times the potential for California. (Page 75)
Arizona roof space available on residential buildings for PV installations is around 27 percent of total roof area. Not considering economics, the rooftop area available for residential PV could support ~7.5 GW of installations in 2025. (page 106 and 107). (Editors Note, this is roughly twice the size of the Palo Verde Nuclear Generating Station.)
The roof space available in commercial buildings for PV installations is around 60 percent of total roof area. Not considering economics, the rooftop area available for commercial building PV could support ~7 GW of installations in 2025. (Page 108 and 109).
Arizona technical market potential in 2025 is 14,520 MW (7,485 residential and 7,035 commercial) (Page 116)
Navigant Consulting, the report authors, along with the Steering Committee identified five initiatives and policies that would address three goals and ambitions. (Page 158 -167)
It appears that the state's efforts will be direceted primarily at 's clear from reviewing the highlight
The Arizona Department of Commerce commissioned this project to help inform the strategy for future business development in the solar industry.
AZ has the potential to become a world leader in many aspects of solar development, and is a model location for the evolution of new solar technologies. (Page 2)
Currently, customer sited PV is more expensive than retail electricity, but future expected cost reductions will close the cost gap. (Page 9)
Technology improvements/cost reductions will allow central solar to compete with conventional baseload and intermediate generation. (Page 11)
Cost of electricity from parabolic trough is near the cost of peaking power today, with costs expected to decline by more than 50 percent by 2025. (Page 13)
Total solar deployment could exceed 2,600 MW in the accelerated scenario with rooftop PV accounting for about 45 percent of the capacity (2025). (Page 17)
The accelerated scenario for solar could add over 3,000 jobs in 2020 (Page 18)
Emission reduction is estimated at 400,000 tons per year in an accelerated scenario in 2020. (Page 19)
If some barriers can be overcome, there is potential for annual installations of more than 250 MW/yr in 2020. (Page 23)
Implementing the roadmap initiatives will allow Arizona to build upon its assets and policies to establish a leadership position in fostering solar. (Page 30)
As of June 2006, nine states have RPS bills introduced and three are considering increasing RPS targets, including the Arizona target. (Page 47)
Arizona renewable energy funds are expected to provide approximately $13.5 million in 2006, and more than $50 million a year upon implementation of Renewable Energy Standard and Tariff (REST). (Page 49)
PV can be sited at customer premises to compete with retail power, but high first cost is still a major barrier to broader market penetration. (Page 65)
The National Renewable Energy Laboratory estimates the technical potential for concentrating solar power at ~2.5 GW in Arizona. This is almost three times the potential for California. (Page 75)
Arizona roof space available on residential buildings for PV installations is around 27 percent of total roof area. Not considering economics, the rooftop area available for residential PV could support ~7.5 GW of installations in 2025. (page 106 and 107). (Editors Note, this is roughly twice the size of the Palo Verde Nuclear Generating Station.)
The roof space available in commercial buildings for PV installations is around 60 percent of total roof area. Not considering economics, the rooftop area available for commercial building PV could support ~7 GW of installations in 2025. (Page 108 and 109).
Arizona technical market potential in 2025 is 14,520 MW (7,485 residential and 7,035 commercial) (Page 116)
Navigant Consulting, the report authors, along with the Steering Committee identified five initiatives and policies that would address three goals and ambitions. (Page 158 -167)
It appears that the state's efforts will be direceted primarily at 's clear from reviewing the highlight
posted by Joe McGuirk at 10:19 AM
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